01
Confidence-gated autonomy
An agent acts alone only when its calibrated confidence clears a threshold derived from the cost of review against the cost of an undetected error.
- Problem
- If every output is reviewed, automation adds nothing; if none is, errors pass. The boundary is usually a number someone picked.
- Technical innovation
- Derive the boundary from a cost ratio, τ* = 1 − c_r/c_f, and watch calibration so that the boundary stays valid when data changes.
- Business implications
- Review effort concentrates where it changes outcomes, and the rule can be explained to an auditor.